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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Old 7th May 2024, 19:33
  #10561 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-b2540140.html


"Moscow has switched to using overland routes in annexed eastern Ukraine to supply its front lines after repeated attacks by Ukraine on the Kerch Bridge, which links mainland Russia to Crimea.

Analysis of satellite images shows that the bridge, which Russia built after annexing Crimea in 2014, has almost no traffic and may therefore no longer represent an effective military target for Ukraine’s ammunition-strapped troops, according to analysts at Molfar, Ukraine’s biggest private intelligence agency.

Images taken by satellite specialists Maxar – which have been analysed by Molfar and shared with The Independent – show that almost no military freight trains have plied the bridge’s rail line in over three months.

In that period just a single Russian freight train carrying around 55 fuel cars was seen crossing the bridge on 29 February.

There was no movement involving Russian military assets on the bridge in March or April, according to Molfar. The agency, based in Dnipro, used a combination of Maxar’s images, railcar counts and cargo identification for its analysis."

If true, good news and bad news. Good that it is out-of-action, but bad that the Russkis can still keep up such heavy pressure without it: I believe though, that these attcks are principally in the East where re-supply would always be coming directly across the nearby land-border. If, as is often suggested, re-taking Crimea is the prime objective of Ukraine, then this would be made considerably easier without the quick re-supply over the bridge.
They might not be using it, but it is there and available for use if their primary route is destroyed.
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Old 7th May 2024, 19:45
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Originally Posted by KeyPilot
He is likely all of those things. Sadly, he is also a propaganda pawn and bargaining chip, now. Russia will exploit him all they can
As Keypilot says they will exploit the idiot for all they can milk it for. In the 1960 i had brief contact with US Senior NCO s. My opinion of them was that they lacked the initiative or capabillity of a British Junior NCO. At the time I was an Infantry Senior NCO. I had hoped thigs had changed. But perhaps we should not judge them all by the actions of one.
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Old 7th May 2024, 22:11
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https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/z...ials-bkcrd5v57

Ukrainian colonels arrested over ‘Russian plot to assassinate Zelensky’

Ukraine said it had arrested two security officials on suspicion of plotting with Russia to assassinate President Zelensky and other senior figures in Kyiv as an inauguration “gift” for President Putin.

The SBU security service said on Tuesday that the two suspects were colonels in the State Guard of Ukraine, which is tasked with protecting the country’s leadership. It said they had worked with the FSB, the Russian intelligence agency, on a plan to take Zelensky hostage and then kill him.

Besides Zelensky, the suspects are also alleged to have targeted Vasyl Malyuk, the head of the SBU, and Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, in an operation that would have involved the use of drones, landmines and rocket launchers.

The SBU published photographs of two men being arrested, as well as what it said were weapons caches and intercepted messages between the organisers of the alleged plot. It also said the operation to assassinate Budanov had been due to take place before Orthodox Easter Sunday on May 5. It did not say when the suspects had been detained.….

The SBU also named three FSB agents that it said had orchestrated the plot, including during a meeting with one of the Ukrainian colonels in an unnamed European country. The Kremlin has not commented.….
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Old 8th May 2024, 08:22
  #10564 (permalink)  
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"Lithuania is prepared to send its soldiers to Ukraine on a training mission", - Financial Times

Ingrida Šimonytė told the FT she had parliamentary permission to send troops to Ukraine for training purposes — something her government has floated before — but that Kyiv had not yet asked for this.

Šimonytė acknowledged that Russia would consider it a provocation, but added: “If we just thought about the Russian response, then we could not send anything. Every second week you hear that somebody will be nuked.”


​​​​​​​
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Old 8th May 2024, 11:23
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German politicians discuss encouraging Ukrainian men to return.

A German opposition politician, Roderich Kiesewetter, has said that Germany ought to support the efforts of Ukraine to recruit more soldiers by cancelling social security benefits ( Bürgergeld ) for the 256 000 Ukrainian men between 18 and 60 currently registered in Germany.. This seems to be something gathering momentum in different countries.

https://www.focus.de/politik/deutsch...259920742.html
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Old 8th May 2024, 12:07
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TF, lekker92 will doubtless be along to comment on that.
Germany has taken in something like 1 million Ukrainians since the invasion of Feb 2022. That's a bit over 2% of the Ukrainian population before the conflict began. There must be some 'eligible for service' folks in there somewhere.
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Old 8th May 2024, 16:48
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EU reaches deal on using profits from Russia’s frozen assets for Ukraine

The EU has reached a deal to seize profits from Russia’s frozen assets to fund weapons and aid for Ukraine within months.

EU senior diplomats meeting on Wednesday agreed a compromise on using the estimated €4.4bn windfall profits to aid Ukraine, smoothing over a dispute about taxation and management costs in Belgium, the country where most of the frozen assets are held.
EU reaches deal...

Euroclear, a clearing house in Brussels, holds €191bn of the €260bn of Russian Central Bank assets that were immobilised by western governments in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. In February the clearing house reported €4.4bn interest on the Russian funds and forecast that the Belgian government would reap €1.085bn in taxes​​​​​​​
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Old 8th May 2024, 16:57
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
TF, lekker92 will doubtless be along to comment on that.
Germany has taken in something like 1 million Ukrainians since the invasion of Feb 2022. That's a bit over 2% of the Ukrainian population before the conflict began. There must be some 'eligible for service' folks in there somewhere.
Yes. As I said, 256 000 men who are within the conscriptable age range - 18 -60.. this suggestion is only an inducement to make them return. On the other hand when Ukraine recently announced that their embassies/consulates will not be renewing passports of men in this age range the German government declared that they will not be expelling any Ukrainian men for not having a valid passport, so there is currently no question of any compulsion. At least one of the Baltic states has been discussing forced removal and I can imagine that this could gain momentum, especially if Ukraine were to make a diplomatic effort to energise the movement, which they have not done so far AFAIK.

Last edited by Tartiflette Fan; 8th May 2024 at 23:11.
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Old 8th May 2024, 20:36
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and forecast that the Belgian government would reap €1.085bn in taxes​​​​​​​
Follow the money.

​​​​​​​TF, thanks for the follow up.
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Old 8th May 2024, 20:46
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Damn!! When is too much ...never enough?

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...are-10418.html
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Old 9th May 2024, 02:26
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How much does that thing weigh?
it will put a lot of strain on tracks, suspension, engine, gearbox etc. speed may be reduced.
Not to mention it will need hard ground to move over.
Imagine getting that thing out of a ditch or mudhole.


Originally Posted by BlankBox
Damn!! When is too much ...never enough?

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...are-10418.html
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Old 9th May 2024, 09:13
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Originally Posted by albatross
How much does that thing weigh?
it will put a lot of strain on tracks, suspension, engine, gearbox etc. speed may be reduced.
Not to mention it will need hard ground to move over.
Imagine getting that thing out of a ditch or mudhole.
Yet still, those add-ons have little to none protection against old school anti-tank weapons which always come in plural, in essence anti-tank missiles, RPG's, LAW's, HEAT etc. All the goods Ukrainians need and must be delivered as a continuous flow.
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Old 9th May 2024, 12:18
  #10573 (permalink)  

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Originally Posted by albatross
Imagine getting that thing out of a ditch or mudhole.
You'd need Time Team to dig it up first!
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Old 10th May 2024, 07:31
  #10574 (permalink)  
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​​​​​​​A video of the drone attacking the plant in Russian Salavat, Bashkiria, appeared on Russian Telegram channels.

The person who is filming says the drone is very large.

It looks like the drone flew about 1,500 km before it reached its target and hit the oiloil catalytic cracking unit.

Gazprom neftekhim Salavat is one of the largest oil refining and petrochemical production complexes in Russia. It specializes in the production of gasoline, diesel fuel, and other types of petroleum products.
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Old 10th May 2024, 07:46
  #10575 (permalink)  
 
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One of these I believe...



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Old 10th May 2024, 10:13
  #10576 (permalink)  
 
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that would appear to be a microlight known in the UK as a SkyRanger.

Rans6.................
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Old 10th May 2024, 10:47
  #10577 (permalink)  
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Skyranger Nynja…

https://theaviationist.com/2024/04/2...amikaze-drone/



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Old 10th May 2024, 10:58
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But how could it fly1,500km over Russia without being detected ?
it’s not exactly speedy.
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Old 10th May 2024, 11:13
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Originally Posted by uffington sb
But how could it fly1,500km over Russia without being detected ?
it’s not exactly speedy.
ask Mathius Rust - he managed to land a Cessna in Red Square at the height of the Cold War.
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Old 10th May 2024, 11:16
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Design clearly based on the Skyranger.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/30642

Ideal for evading ground based detection - too small too slow and little mass...
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