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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Old 14th Nov 2023, 07:14
  #6541 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by ORAC
There are three hypotheses of varying likelihood for the release of the now-retracted reports of a #Russian regrouping on the east bank of #Kherson Oblast, discussed in the 🧵below.

More in tonight's update on https://isw.pub/UkrWar111323
ISW's analysis is compelling. Of the options, it is unlikely that such bland terminology would have been used by a spoofing action from Ukraine. It is consistent with the "advance to the rear" diminutive statements that high command would issue, think that there is some Russian general that is having his suicide arranged momentarily.

For Incheon style initiatives, Ukraine may not have much marine assault capability, heavy equipment positioning is a problem, but, the advent of highly effective man pads and ATGW gives capability that then is only lacking artillery support, which drones and the most recent rocketry give some solutions. Grinding out from the shores of the Dnipro delta may not be their best surprise to Vlad. Last retreat showed that Russia was no less incompetent at retreat than advance, which at least has a natural balance to it. Good at fertilising soil in foreign lands, not brilliant at sanitation in the Rodina.
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Old 14th Nov 2023, 08:31
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Meanwhile back in Russia… family life goes on, that little kid really puts the boot in.
Laws on domestic violence were loosened in the recent years. It is OK to beat your wife unless you break her bones then it would be an offence. They did the change because police was overwhelmed by the cases when men beat their women (though officers mostly sided with men because "everybody knows women deserve it") so Putin made sure police will not be bothered too much. Alcohol abuse plays important role in this behaviour as well.

If I remember well, in average every 47 minutes a woman is killed in Russia by her husband in domestic violence.

Cruelty is a an important trait in Russian society, some scholars think it is a heritage since Golden Horde ruled Muscovy. Anyway, this explains the horrible deeds perpetrated on civilians in Ukraine or why they seem to accept the unthinkable losses during human waves infantry assaults.
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Old 14th Nov 2023, 08:35
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Looks like cluster munitions may enjoy a renaissance in the inventory of many European nations….

Russian instructor of Storm Z penal units explains the impact that Ukrainian cluster munitions are having on the Russian infantry, not only killing and wounding them, but also disrupting logistics of evacuation, and overfilling the hospitals. He says that wounded Russian servicemen are returned to battle with shrapnel still stuck in their bodies.




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Old 14th Nov 2023, 08:44
  #6544 (permalink)  
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Footage [graphic footage] of the frontline positions in Avdiivka taken back by Ukrainian infantry from the 53rd Brigade.


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Old 14th Nov 2023, 08:54
  #6545 (permalink)  
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BREAKING:
The US is targeting the Dark Fleet - this is BIG news!!

Reuters reports this evening that the U.S. Treasury Department has sent notices to #ship management companies requesting information about 100 vessels it suspects of violating Western sanctions on Russian oil, according to a source who has seen the documents.

At last there is action against the #DarkFleet and #GreyFleet!

The Group of Seven rich countries, the European Union and Australia imposed the $60 per barrel cap last December on sea-borne exports of #Russian crude to punish Moscow for its war on Ukraine. It bans Western companies from providing services such as transportation, insurance and financing for the oil sold above the cap. The price cap has caused a shift in global markets as #China and India purchase Russian oil, much of which had traditionally gone to Europe and other markets. A rally in global oil prices this year has meant much of Russian #oil has traded above the #cap.

In October 2023, the US has imposed sanctions on two companies shipping Russian oil, in its first enforcement of measures designed to choke off revenues to the Kremlin as continues its full-scale invasion of #Ukraine. The US Treasury department on said the two companies, based in the United Arab Emirates and Turkey, had used US-based shipping services while carrying Russian crude bought at a price greater than $60 per barrel, violating the oil price cap G7 countries imposed on Moscow last year.

The enforcement measures come amid G7 countries’ broader effort to restrict the flow of petrodollars to Russian president Vladimir Putin’s war chest. The group issued a statement on Thursday outlining the “risks of violating” the price cap rules.

A senior Treasury official said the Kremlin’s oil tax revenue was down 45 per cent from January to August this year compared with the same months in 2022. But Moscow has increasingly dodged sanctions on most of its oil exports, with almost three-quarters of Russian crude travelling without western insurance in August. U.S. officials have said the cap has imposed extra costs on Russia for a "ghost fleet" of aging tankers, longer voyages and reliance on non-Western maritime services that have cut into the revenues it can spend on the war.

The notices, sent by the Office of Foreign Assets Control to ship management companies in about 30 countries on Friday, represent the biggest step of its kind by the United States since Washington and its allies imposed the price cap last year aimed at restricting oil revenues to Moscow as punishment for its invasion of Ukraine, the source said. The requests for information are a routine step in sanctions investigations.

“Today’s action demonstrates our continued commitment to reduce Russia’s resources for its war against Ukraine and to enforce the price cap,” said US deputy Treasury secretary Wally Adeyemo. The new sanctions enforcement come as the Joe Biden administration tries to build pressure on the Kremlin for its war in Ukraine and to show support for Kyiv after Congress recently omitted more funding for the country in a stop-gap spending measure.

For more information on sanctions circumvention using the Dark Fleet and Grey Fleet - read my thread here 👇

​​​​​​​https://x.com/beefeater_fella/status...HhlFHGKbTPQr_A
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Old 14th Nov 2023, 15:45
  #6546 (permalink)  
 
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For those wondering how long the support in armaments will continue to Ukraine, keep an eye open for the output of the EU defense ministers' meeting which starts today. There may be changes, and there may not.

EU will probably miss the 1 million shells pledge/order is one tidbit coming out of that.
(Reuters) BRUSSELS, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The European Union will miss its target of supplying Ukraine with 1 million artillery shells and missiles by next March, German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius said on Tuesday.

Arriving at a meeting of EU defence ministers in Brussels, Pistorius also questioned the wisdom of having set the target in March this year, with a 12-month deadline.

Pistorius's comments were the first public admission by a senior European minister that the target would not be met, although diplomats and officials have been expressing scepticism privately for months about the goal.
Mid-term, looks like F-16 training will go on.
As Ned Stark once said: Winter is coming.
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Old 14th Nov 2023, 16:09
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The answer to the question is YES.

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Old 14th Nov 2023, 16:18
  #6548 (permalink)  
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Erm... it's a wonder that the first people the Russian troops shoot at are not their own commanding officers.

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Old 14th Nov 2023, 16:20
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More Russian rail problems


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Old 14th Nov 2023, 22:47
  #6550 (permalink)  
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Russian "military reporter", read combatant, Romanov, shares screenshots of a conversation about partisan activities in the Luhansk Oblast, Kreminna district.

According to it, everything that Russians touch is being poisoned: food, alcohol, vapes. Energy drinks that are mixed with sulphur.

Romanov suggests people caught doing this should be killed (in their own country).

Who is it that keeps saying how eastern Ukrainians all want to be part of Russia?





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Old 14th Nov 2023, 23:00
  #6551 (permalink)  
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🫣🤫😎😎


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Old 14th Nov 2023, 23:14
  #6552 (permalink)  
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Russian commentator telling some home truths and the host not liking it.

One of their regulars, but I wonder for how long…

Russian propagandists admit that the West can offer so much more than Russia. The host really doesn't like that.
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 01:18
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Erm... it's a wonder that the first people the Russian troops shoot at are not their own commanding officers.



https://twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1724442859816857809

Actually that punishment is somewhat lightweight compared to that described by Arkady Babchenko in "One Soldier's War"

18 year old draftee in 1st Chechen War, served in the 2nd as well. Complete savagery, corruption, incompetence and brutality in the Russian military ranks top to bottom.

Meshes well with their performance in Ukraine.

Amazon.com: One Soldier's War: 9780802144034: Babchenko, Arkady, Allen, Nick: Books Amazon.com: One Soldier's War: 9780802144034: Babchenko, Arkady, Allen, Nick: Books
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 03:14
  #6554 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Russian commentator telling some home truths and the host not liking it.

One of their regulars, but I wonder for how long…



Russian propagandists admit that the West can offer so much more than Russia. The host really doesn't like that.
This is worth a watch, especially the last bit where the Russian panelist (?) claims life in Russia is better than in Germany.... Too bad VPN's are no longer allowed in Russia. The guest, IMHO, will accidentally fall from a balcony while admiring the great Soviet state.
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 05:12
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The Ukrainians with 1.3 Million Refugees in Russia and about 4.7 Million in the EU at peak times have a good idea of the differences.
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 07:27
  #6556 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Russian commentator telling some home truths and the host not liking it.

One of their regulars, but I wonder for how long…



Russian propagandists admit that the West can offer so much more than Russia. The host really doesn't like that.
Viktor Olegovich [.....] has been increasingly blunt on the actions of Russia towards Ukraine. That started over a year ago, and has been ramping up, he is always the voice of dissent to the rest of the panelists and the bias of the presenters. He has reasoned arguments and provides facts, the others retort with propaganda without any exception I can recall. The odd dynamic is that Viktor is a return presenter, there seems to be movement under the duckpond that is not just air escaping from the duck butt (Aviation content: that was our SAR escort activities way back when).

There is a glimmer of sense from the inclusion of him still in the discussion. Still, having a fast inflating neck collar might be handy, 6 floor windows would be best avoided.

"...all we want is peace..." stated by the contrary panelists who support Vlads criminal enterprise and the war crimes perpetrated by Russia. What a crock of blyat. Peace existed until 2014 in Ukraine, until 1993 in Grozny... until 1996 in Georgia... Peace/Mir are not on the agenda of Russia's emperor. What is, are more 200's in glued together cardboard stuffed flak jackets returning home to be exchanged for a new refrigerator. The wife wins that she gets rid of the drunken boor and gets the utility of whitegoods, seems like a fair trade all up. A good place to store the rotting fish that Russia was providing in compensation when they ran out of Lada's to the Primosrk and Kamchatka regions.

Peace and tranquility will not be easily returned to the region, the Ukrainians remember the Holodomor, 90 years back, they are certain to recall Bucha and every crime that Russia perpetrated spreading mir about by bomb and bullet and blade. Russia has no interest in being a apart of a civilised world.
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 08:27
  #6557 (permalink)  
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Denmark may block passage of Russian oil tankers to markets

Under new EU plans, the Financial Times reports, Denmark will be tasked with inspecting and potentially blocking Russian oil tankers passing through its waters.

By the way, about 60% of Russia's offshore oil exports are transported through the Baltic Sea - and they cross Danish straits on their way to international markets.


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Old 15th Nov 2023, 11:46
  #6558 (permalink)  
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The Eu is looking at banning the parts and tooling for export to Russia that can be used for making weapons and also the parts for drones. I cannot fathom why this wasn't done years ago.

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Old 15th Nov 2023, 11:47
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Russian commentator telling some home truths and the host not liking it.

One of their regulars, but I wonder for how long…



Russian propagandists admit that the West can offer so much more than Russia. The host really doesn't like that.
crocodile tears. They all drive western cars, consume western goods and the rich live in the west.
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Old 15th Nov 2023, 11:54
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The previous thread i posted re the russians in a car being chased by the drone, this is the drones view.

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