Is Ukraine about to have a war?
Easy.
The aircraft will still be useful even without a sat-link and just damaging an engine is a silly, very temporary plan. The airframe itself needs to be critically damaged.
Modify a quad with an upward firing shaped charge and fly it beneath the wing of a Mainstay. Local knowlege of where exactly the tanks lie will ensure the job's a good'un. You only need a minute or two's decent fire to finish the airframe for good.
That or downward firing phosphorous into the fuselage which would have a similar effect.
Even assuming that these drone videos are actually Ukrainian and not Russian as I highly suspect. The whole thing seems far to cosy and pat to me and with no result (ie a burning Mainstay) which is Ukraine's usual signature. Why go to all the risks of broadcasting this as a recce and not finishing the job - rather than alerting the Orcs?
Sorry, I just don't buy it.
No, this is all just just a false-flag exercise I reckon.
But nonetheless a technique to consdider.
The aircraft will still be useful even without a sat-link and just damaging an engine is a silly, very temporary plan. The airframe itself needs to be critically damaged.
Modify a quad with an upward firing shaped charge and fly it beneath the wing of a Mainstay. Local knowlege of where exactly the tanks lie will ensure the job's a good'un. You only need a minute or two's decent fire to finish the airframe for good.
That or downward firing phosphorous into the fuselage which would have a similar effect.
Even assuming that these drone videos are actually Ukrainian and not Russian as I highly suspect. The whole thing seems far to cosy and pat to me and with no result (ie a burning Mainstay) which is Ukraine's usual signature. Why go to all the risks of broadcasting this as a recce and not finishing the job - rather than alerting the Orcs?
Sorry, I just don't buy it.
No, this is all just just a false-flag exercise I reckon.
But nonetheless a technique to consdider.
Last edited by meleagertoo; 4th Mar 2023 at 20:46.
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Sputnik Covid treatment designer joins Russias dwindling hierarchy
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/16...C9gaqxjqYtAAAA
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/16...C9gaqxjqYtAAAA
Autoerotic Aphysiation gone wrong. Killed by a rent boy allegedly
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"Mildly" Eccentric Stardriver
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Article from the NY tImes about a Ukrainian Helicopter Brigade:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/04/w...smid=url-share
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/04/w...smid=url-share
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Modern Russia BYO airdefence
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/stat...13180749639681
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/stat...13180749639681
No wonder the right wingers are in love with Russia.
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How could anyone - even top level military intelligence possibly know this info- and they'd be the last to blab it?
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SU 34 downed - not clear by whom.
https://www.focus.de/politik/ausland...187429620.html
Shot down over the Donbas near Yenakieve. Ukraine claims kill, other "experts" think Russian own-goal and Russia is keeping quiet. Ukraine says one pilot killed and one seriously injured.
Shot down over the Donbas near Yenakieve. Ukraine claims kill, other "experts" think Russian own-goal and Russia is keeping quiet. Ukraine says one pilot killed and one seriously injured.
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Reports indicate that UKR personnel losses are 1/7 of Wagner zek losses in Bakhmut. But the Russian prison population is about 433,000. Further zek recruitment depends on suppression of zek mortality rate serving with Wagner. It helps that zeks have even less access to battlefield losses than the average Russian.
I suspect that Putin will happily sacrifice as many zeks as Wagner can recruit, especially if they ultimately cost UKR 50,000+ troops.
I suspect that Putin will happily sacrifice as many zeks as Wagner can recruit, especially if they ultimately cost UKR 50,000+ troops.
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Reports indicate that UKR personnel losses are 1/7 of Wagner zek losses in Bakhmut. But the Russian prison population is about 433,000. Further zek recruitment depends on suppression of zek mortality rate serving with Wagner. It helps that zeks have even less access to battlefield losses than the average Russian.
I suspect that Putin will happily sacrifice as many zeks as Wagner can recruit, especially if they ultimately cost UKR 50,000+ troops.
I suspect that Putin will happily sacrifice as many zeks as Wagner can recruit, especially if they ultimately cost UKR 50,000+ troops.
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Easy.
The aircraft will still be useful even without a sat-link and just damaging an engine is a silly, very temporary plan. The airframe itself needs to be critically damaged.
Modify a quad with an upward firing shaped charge and fly it beneath the wing of a Mainstay. Local knowlege of where exactly the tanks lie will ensure the job's a good'un. You only need a minute or two's decent fire to finish the airframe for good.
That or downward firing phosphorous into the fuselage which would have a similar effect.
Even assuming that these drone videos are actually Ukrainian and not Russian as I highly suspect. The whole thing seems far to cosy and pat to me and with no result (ie a burning Mainstay) which is Ukraine's usual signature. Why go to all the risks of broadcasting this as a recce and not finishing the job - rather than alerting the Orcs?
Sorry, I just don't buy it.
No, this is all just just a false-flag exercise I reckon.
But nonetheless a technique to consdider.
The aircraft will still be useful even without a sat-link and just damaging an engine is a silly, very temporary plan. The airframe itself needs to be critically damaged.
Modify a quad with an upward firing shaped charge and fly it beneath the wing of a Mainstay. Local knowlege of where exactly the tanks lie will ensure the job's a good'un. You only need a minute or two's decent fire to finish the airframe for good.
That or downward firing phosphorous into the fuselage which would have a similar effect.
Even assuming that these drone videos are actually Ukrainian and not Russian as I highly suspect. The whole thing seems far to cosy and pat to me and with no result (ie a burning Mainstay) which is Ukraine's usual signature. Why go to all the risks of broadcasting this as a recce and not finishing the job - rather than alerting the Orcs?
Sorry, I just don't buy it.
No, this is all just just a false-flag exercise I reckon.
But nonetheless a technique to consdider.
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Up until then Ukraine had been operating more of a NATO war, relatively fast moving, highly coordinated and controlled thrusts that Russia was lost to contain, along with the ability to hit and run on any advancing armour or mechanised forces.
Bakhmut appears to be the opposite and they are allowing Russia to dictate the playbook using their tactics of a slow grinding forward movement destroying everything in its path.
But at the end of the day, you have to rely on the West and Ukraine knowing what they are doing and that of the Generals in charge.
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Two Ukrainian pilots are in the USA being evaluated on sims including F16
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But as they also targeted the radome, it’s primary mission information gathering platform, surely that means it’s usefulness is severely compromised, I thought the advantage of an AWAC is to gather information and then transfer that data in real time to your assets, if the ability to both collect it and downlink it to those that need it are both gone, I cannot see it being useful at all. You really need that data in real-time to be useful.
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Agree in the short term, Nutty, but radomes are easily repaired/replaced and antennae are LRUs, so I would expect to have that back on line in a week or so; particularly as it appears to have been ferried to a main repair base. To disable it in the medium/long term, I'd be targeting primary structure.
A small shaped charge can punch a hole into the wing with ease I would have thought although perhaps detonation on contact rather than at a distance might be problematic. If they could back it up with an incendiary of some sort you might be able to set fire to the whole aircraft.
With a damaged wing no chance to fly it out.
Or just drop a himar onto it?
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