Is Ukraine about to have a war?
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Let alone, when the NATO would decide to action, Orban will be on the emergency brake.
Last edited by WideScreen; 26th May 2022 at 16:33. Reason: Added TT's statement
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US Defence Intelligence agency assess that less than 40% of Russian missiles fired during the war in Ukraine have hit their intended targets. 20-30% fail to launch or crash in flight and many miss aiming points.
https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-r...a-show-1709388
https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-r...a-show-1709388
At the military level, failures are calculated, so just have enough extra capacity. Though, this amount of failures is high.
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How does US Intelligence "know" what the aiming points were?
Are these the same Intelligence Analysts that did not see this War coming and said it would only last three days...that did not see the Taliban taking over Afghanistan...that "knew" there were WMD's in Iraq?
That the Russians are mucking it up big time is easy to see.....but to know with certainty requires a lot of confirmed inside information....which I do not believe for a second that we have.
Are these the same Intelligence Analysts that did not see this War coming and said it would only last three days...that did not see the Taliban taking over Afghanistan...that "knew" there were WMD's in Iraq?
That the Russians are mucking it up big time is easy to see.....but to know with certainty requires a lot of confirmed inside information....which I do not believe for a second that we have.
Regarding the war prediction: The Biden government did have pretty accurate predictions when and what was going to happen. The performance time-line did surprise everybody, the whole world, including Putin.
And the WMD/Iraq: That was upfront clear, the whole WMD was complete nonsense. The Second Iraq war only happened because Bush senior told Bush junior, he did regret, he did not finish off Saddam Hussain. And then, subsequently, further encouraged by Cheney and his war industry. Sorry for the thread-drift.
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As someone who resides in said country, that happened a long time ago and there are too many sweet deals to lose with Putin if the latter is removed - hence the current Hungarian stance. If you listen to the "Kremlin File" podcasts - there is a whole show about how the Russians corrupt governments with infrastructure deals - hmmm, just like the Paks II deal for the new nuclear power station that is being financed and built by the Russians. It's so sensitive that the whole deal is a state secret and nobody but the ruling party here know what is going on.
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How does US Intelligence "know" what the aiming points were?
Are these the same Intelligence Analysts that did not see this War coming and said it would only last three days...that did not see the Taliban taking over Afghanistan...that "knew" there were WMD's in Iraq?
That the Russians are mucking it up big time is easy to see.....but to know with certainty requires a lot of confirmed inside information....which I do not believe for a second that we have.
Are these the same Intelligence Analysts that did not see this War coming and said it would only last three days...that did not see the Taliban taking over Afghanistan...that "knew" there were WMD's in Iraq?
That the Russians are mucking it up big time is easy to see.....but to know with certainty requires a lot of confirmed inside information....which I do not believe for a second that we have.
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Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-r...a-show-1709388
Exclusive: Russia's Air War in Ukraine is a Total Failure, New Data Show
Exclusive: Russia's Air War in Ukraine is a Total Failure, New Data Show
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Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Russian media pundits threatening nuclear war again…
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They cannot escape the retaliation strike and they know it.
This might fire back in unexpected ways: A launch order might be the very moment the -more rational- russian military starts to oppose the government.
This might fire back in unexpected ways: A launch order might be the very moment the -more rational- russian military starts to oppose the government.
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I think you will find it is white phosphorus, to burn people and everything else on the ground.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/180455...-warfare-fears
..
Last edited by NutLoose; 26th May 2022 at 20:28.
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Do you think he has figured out how sh*te they are yet?
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Do you think he has figured out how sh*te they are yet?
https://twitter.com/PekkaLooking/sta...10794934280197
https://twitter.com/PekkaLooking/sta...10794934280197
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What scares me is that Putin could be getting to the point that he doesn't care about retaliation. Hitler like, if he thinks he's going down, taking the rest of the world with him may actually be appealing.
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While I hope that those have conventional tips, I think that those missiles are roughly the same class of cruise missile as Tomahawk (USN and RN).
If they have a special tip then you can have more sleepless nights.
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I'll see what open sources have on that.
FWIW, the wiki entry indicates that some can have a special warhead
The 3M-54 Kalibr, (Калибр, caliber), also referred to it as 3M54-1 Kalibr, 3M14 Biryuza (Бирюза, turquoise), (NATO reporting nameSS-N-27 Sizzler and SS-N-30A), 91R1, and 91RT2, is a family of Russian cruise missiles developed by the Novator Design Bureau (OKB-8). There are ship-launched, submarine-launched and air-launched versions of the missile, and variants for anti-ship, anti-submarine and land attack use. Some versions have a second propulsion stage that initiates a supersonic sprint in the terminal approach to the target, reducing the time that target's defense systems have to react, while subsonic versions have greater range than the supersonic variants. The missile can carry a warhead weighing up to 500 kg of explosive or a thermonuclear warhead.
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A rather different perspective is in some of the financial websites, such as this one here: https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2022...ng-russia.html
The short form here is that the West has shot itself in the foot with the various embargoes. These have had very limited near term effect on Russia, which received all time record energy export revenues in April ,but are hugely damaging to the global.economy. The victims will blame the West for imposing these sanctions.
The other element is that warts and all, Russia is gradually absorbing eastern Ukraine, the source of the conflict, installing civil administrations and offering expedited Russian citizenship.
Changing those facts on the ground will be problematical for the Ukraine, even with an influx of NATO gear.
Kissinger at Davos stated his view that the Ukraine will not be able to emerge unscathed from this war. He is admittedly old, but his judgement still seems sound.
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