What are Next Great Disruptors in Aviation ?
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: London
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"They've been saying Katla is going to Blow for years . It's direct neighbour went up including quakes but nothing.
Nothing but Hype. Katla won't be blowing up - Period."
That's geologists for you - they take a longgggg term view (" A thousand ages in thy sight are like an evening gone...")
It will blow, and with luck they might be able to give 6 months warning but the usual nay-sayers will bury their heads in the (volcanic) sand and deny it all until the sun disapears one afternoon
Nothing but Hype. Katla won't be blowing up - Period."
That's geologists for you - they take a longgggg term view (" A thousand ages in thy sight are like an evening gone...")
It will blow, and with luck they might be able to give 6 months warning but the usual nay-sayers will bury their heads in the (volcanic) sand and deny it all until the sun disapears one afternoon
Join Date: May 2002
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Though out of interest what happened to Air traffic when mount St Helens went up ?.
Was there disruption?.
And aren't there some volcanos in Italy which are more dangerous.
If one of those went then All that air corridor up the Italian coast would be a no go.
Was there disruption?.
And aren't there some volcanos in Italy which are more dangerous.
If one of those went then All that air corridor up the Italian coast would be a no go.
As for the future of aviation, I think the next thing is going to be increasing point-to-point long haul flying, primarily driven by the low cost airlines. It's going to be difficult for the LCCs to compete on price on long haul routes - the fares are already relatively low, however where they will compete will be in bypassing the hub airports. This was one of the main reasons they were successful in Europe, not so much because they were cheaper, but because they opened up markets that previously required a connection.
BA offer competitive fares on routes such as EDI-BOS, but they require a connection in LHR. The LCCs will start to cut out the layovers and start to cherry pick key long-haul routes. The 737MAX/A32xNEO will make these flights more feasible, and will also be the right size to be re-deployed on intra-europe or domestic routes to keep fleet utilisation high.
787s are already starting to make long-thin routes a reality, and this trend will continue as more are delivered, with the 737MAX/A32xNEO opening up the shorter, thin routes.
